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Red146
6753.7
50342.0
438127.8
Blue105
365623.9
496724.6
118929.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14272050100200146105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#2
53.70.1
54.154.2
Auto12.3
Teleop32.0
End9.3
red by 24.1
1189
#35
29.60.4
29.129.6
Auto9.5
Teleop15.4
End4.6
Second
503
#1
42.00.1
42.442.5
Auto14.1
Teleop17.3
End10.6
red by 17.4
4967
#11
24.60.4
24.224.6
Auto6.0
Teleop9.8
End8.8
Third
4381
#19
27.80.1
28.328.4
Auto10.4
Teleop13.7
End3.8
red by 3.9
3656
#15
23.90.4
23.523.9
Auto5.4
Teleop10.2
End8.3