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Red109
296035.5
283228.5
546024.1
Blue105
721130.2
102340.6
516727.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85109204060100120140160109105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2960
#17
35.50.5
33.534.0
Auto6.9
Teleop19.5
End9.0
blue by 5.2
40.60.1
41.040.9
Auto9.0
Teleop27.5
End4.2
Second
28.50.5
26.627.1
Auto5.9
Teleop15.6
End7.1
blue by 1.6
30.20.1
30.530.5
Auto6.8
Teleop10.9
End12.5
Third
5460
#38
24.10.5
22.222.7
Auto8.6
Teleop13.5
End2.1
blue by 3.7
5167
#13
27.80.1
28.128.1
Auto5.1
Teleop17.4
End5.3