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Red47
6610.7
102340.6
260411.8
Blue86
6753.7
245139.2
82435.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68113204060801001401604786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.61.5
43.241.7
Auto9.0
Teleop27.5
End4.2
blue by 13.0
67
#2
53.71.0
53.352.3
Auto12.3
Teleop32.0
End9.3
Second
2604
#21
11.81.5
14.513.1
Auto3.3
Teleop3.0
End5.4
blue by 27.4
39.21.0
37.836.9
Auto10.7
Teleop22.0
End6.4
Third
66
#39
10.71.5
11.610.1
Auto5.1
Teleop4.8
End0.8
red by 5.5
8243
#30
5.21.3
9.68.3
Auto0.4
Teleop1.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
79%Cargo oddsMissed93%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed93%Hangar oddsEarned