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Red83
590724.5
438127.8
365623.9
Blue44
118929.6
5125.6
7028.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions761200501001502008344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4381
#19
27.80.1
31.731.5
Auto10.4
Teleop13.7
End3.8
blue by 1.8
1189
#35
29.64.2
35.631.3
Auto9.5
Teleop15.4
End4.6
Second
5907
#22
24.50.1
23.923.7
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End6.2
blue by 3.6
70
#12
28.14.2
37.333.1
Auto7.2
Teleop11.2
End9.7
Third
3656
#15
23.90.1
21.121.0
Auto5.4
Teleop10.2
End8.3
blue by 1.7
51
#34
25.64.2
34.330.1
Auto6.4
Teleop13.7
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
70%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
73%Hangar oddsEarned91%Hangar oddsMissed