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Red41
438127.8
5125.6
49985.9
Blue120
574031.5
716620.2
245139.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73100020406012014016041120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4381
#19
27.82.6
31.528.9
Auto10.4
Teleop13.7
End3.8
blue by 11.4
39.22.0
37.939.9
Auto10.7
Teleop22.0
End6.4
Second
51
#34
25.62.6
30.127.5
Auto6.4
Teleop13.7
End5.5
blue by 5.9
5740
#16
31.52.0
31.233.1
Auto6.5
Teleop13.9
End11.1
Third
4998
#31
5.92.6
10.78.1
Auto1.8
Teleop3.1
End1.1
blue by 14.3
7166
#32
20.22.0
21.623.6
Auto6.0
Teleop6.3
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
85%Cargo oddsMissed61%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsMissed93%Hangar oddsEarned