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Red41
81456.9
118929.6
6610.7
Blue108
296035.5
496724.6
516727.8
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4192020608010012014016041108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1189
#35
29.60.2
31.331.1
Auto9.5
Teleop15.4
End4.6
blue by 5.9
2960
#17
35.51.6
33.935.5
Auto6.9
Teleop19.5
End9.0
Second
66
#39
10.70.2
8.98.7
Auto5.1
Teleop4.8
End0.8
blue by 17.1
5167
#13
27.81.6
25.026.6
Auto5.1
Teleop17.4
End5.3
Third
8145
#23
6.90.2
4.34.1
Auto3.2
Teleop2.0
End1.7
blue by 17.7
4967
#11
24.61.6
20.622.2
Auto6.0
Teleop9.8
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsMissed71%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed81%Hangar oddsEarned