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Red48
365623.9
170136.0
749117.8
Blue100
3344.5
102340.6
686118.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions771175010015048100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.02.3
37.234.9
Auto9.0
Teleop19.8
End7.2
blue by 8.5
33
#10
44.50.4
45.945.6
Auto10.5
Teleop22.7
End11.3
Second
3656
#15
23.92.3
21.018.8
Auto5.4
Teleop10.2
End8.3
blue by 16.7
40.60.4
40.940.5
Auto9.0
Teleop27.5
End4.2
Third
7491
#20
17.82.3
19.617.3
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End5.0
blue by 0.5
18.30.4
18.518.1
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
87%Cargo oddsMissed94%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsMissed84%Hangar oddsEarned