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Red100
7028.1
6753.7
686118.3
Blue44
353629.3
49985.9
516727.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1136405010015020010044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#2
53.70.0
51.851.8
Auto12.3
Teleop32.0
End9.3
red by 24.4
3536
#14
29.31.7
30.028.2
Auto8.3
Teleop12.6
End8.4
Second
70
#12
28.10.0
28.528.5
Auto7.2
Teleop11.2
End9.7
red by 0.3
5167
#13
27.81.7
27.726.0
Auto5.1
Teleop17.4
End5.3
Third
18.30.0
19.219.2
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End6.7
red by 12.4
4998
#31
5.91.7
8.46.6
Auto1.8
Teleop3.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
90%Cargo oddsEarned73%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
95%Hangar oddsEarned45%Hangar oddsMissed