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Red100
721130.2
7028.1
516727.8
Blue75
170136.0
171122.2
716620.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions908405015020010075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.8
29.730.5
Auto6.8
Teleop10.9
End12.5
blue by 5.8
36.00.3
36.636.3
Auto9.0
Teleop19.8
End7.2
Second
70
#12
28.10.8
27.127.9
Auto7.2
Teleop11.2
End9.7
red by 5.9
1711
#28
22.20.3
22.522.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End11.7
Third
5167
#13
27.80.8
27.328.1
Auto5.1
Teleop17.4
End5.3
red by 7.6
7166
#32
20.20.3
20.520.2
Auto6.0
Teleop6.3
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
79%Cargo oddsEarned82%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
87%Hangar oddsEarned92%Hangar oddsEarned