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Red64
296035.5
81456.9
590724.5
Blue88
48109.7
283228.5
332234.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6378020401001201406488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2960
#17
35.50.2
33.733.9
Auto6.9
Teleop19.5
End9.0
red by 0.7
34.70.6
33.634.2
Auto8.7
Teleop21.4
End4.7
Second
5907
#22
24.50.2
23.723.9
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End6.2
blue by 4.0
28.50.6
21.221.8
Auto5.9
Teleop15.6
End7.1
Third
8145
#23
6.90.2
3.74.0
Auto3.2
Teleop2.0
End1.7
blue by 2.8
4810
#25
9.70.6
16.417.0
Auto5.4
Teleop4.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
50%Cargo oddsMissed50%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsEarned59%Hangar oddsMissed