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Red72
366827.9
543619.9
552512.9
Blue89
283422.6
353437.1
546021.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61920501507289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3668
#12
27.90.2
28.028.2
Auto8.1
Teleop11.0
End8.8
blue by 9.2
37.10.1
37.637.5
Auto8.3
Teleop17.7
End11.1
Second
19.90.2
20.020.2
Auto5.8
Teleop5.5
End8.7
blue by 2.7
2834
#18
22.60.1
23.123.0
Auto10.2
Teleop10.5
End1.9
Third
5525
#16
12.90.2
13.013.1
Auto2.4
Teleop1.6
End8.9
blue by 8.6
5460
#26
21.50.1
22.021.9
Auto7.5
Teleop10.3
End3.6