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Red96
22641.1
721125.6
552512.9
Blue65
5527-0.6
353854.9
508427.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions821020501509665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#2
41.10.3
44.144.4
Auto7.3
Teleop21.3
End12.6
blue by 13.7
54.92.2
56.454.3
Auto13.3
Teleop31.4
End10.2
Second
7211
#25
25.60.3
23.123.4
Auto6.8
Teleop8.4
End10.3
blue by 1.7
5084
#21
27.32.2
35.733.5
Auto6.4
Teleop10.2
End10.7
Third
5525
#16
12.90.3
12.012.3
Auto2.4
Teleop1.6
End8.9
red by 13.5
5527
#33
-0.63.6
1.5-2.1
Auto1.5
Teleop-1.9
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
69%Cargo oddsEarned98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
95%Hangar oddsEarned85%Hangar oddsMissed