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Red122
22641.1
2746.1
72029.8
Blue101
833219.3
721125.6
91033.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11276050100150200122101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#5
46.11.5
47.649.0
Auto11.1
Teleop24.2
End10.8
red by 12.5
910
#20
33.60.9
35.136.0
Auto10.9
Teleop14.3
End8.4
Second
226
#2
41.11.5
44.445.9
Auto7.3
Teleop21.3
End12.6
red by 15.5
7211
#25
25.60.9
23.424.3
Auto6.8
Teleop8.4
End10.3
Third
7202
#23
9.81.5
8.09.5
Auto2.2
Teleop0.4
End7.3
blue by 9.5
8332
#29
19.30.9
17.218.1
Auto2.4
Teleop11.8
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo oddsEarned46%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
95%Hangar oddsEarned78%Hangar oddsEarned