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Red66
546021.5
543619.9
508427.3
Blue105
436246.7
719211.6
233737.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7510205015066105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5084
#21
27.31.1
33.532.4
Auto6.4
Teleop10.2
End10.7
blue by 19.4
46.70.8
42.743.5
Auto14.0
Teleop22.6
End10.1
Second
5460
#26
21.51.1
23.822.8
Auto7.5
Teleop10.3
End3.6
blue by 16.0
37.50.8
37.738.5
Auto13.3
Teleop16.4
End7.8
Third
19.91.1
16.615.6
Auto5.8
Teleop5.5
End8.7
red by 8.4
7192
#28
11.60.8
12.213.0
Auto3.7
Teleop3.3
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsMissed94%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsEarned79%Hangar oddsEarned