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Red27
48546.0
608513.9
546021.5
Blue68
552512.9
364124.2
91033.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions479001001502768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#26
21.51.5
24.122.6
Auto7.5
Teleop10.3
End3.6
blue by 12.1
910
#20
33.60.7
38.637.9
Auto10.9
Teleop14.3
End8.4
Second
6085
#24
13.91.5
14.513.0
Auto6.3
Teleop5.1
End2.6
blue by 10.3
24.20.7
26.726.0
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End3.7
Third
4854
#27
6.01.5
10.59.0
Auto2.8
Teleop1.5
End1.7
blue by 6.9
5525
#16
12.90.7
13.412.7
Auto2.4
Teleop1.6
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
46%Cargo oddsMissed41%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed78%Hangar oddsMissed