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Red69
612011.0
91033.6
366827.9
Blue101
283422.6
150644.6
508427.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7211102040608010012014016069101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#20
33.60.2
35.835.6
Auto10.9
Teleop14.3
End8.4
blue by 11.0
1506
#11
44.60.4
43.443.0
Auto11.3
Teleop26.9
End6.4
Second
3668
#12
27.90.2
26.426.2
Auto8.1
Teleop11.0
End8.8
red by 0.6
5084
#21
27.30.4
31.330.9
Auto6.4
Teleop10.2
End10.7
Third
6120
#15
11.00.2
10.09.8
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End1.5
blue by 11.6
2834
#18
22.60.4
24.323.9
Auto10.2
Teleop10.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
74%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
65%Hangar oddsMissed60%Hangar oddsEarned