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Red43
833219.3
48546.0
552512.9
Blue91
30235.5
725014.7
543619.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33710204060801001201404391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8332
#29
19.30.5
16.917.4
Auto2.4
Teleop11.8
End5.1
blue by 16.2
302
#14
35.51.6
32.233.9
Auto9.3
Teleop19.3
End6.9
Second
5525
#16
12.90.5
12.513.0
Auto2.4
Teleop1.6
End8.9
blue by 7.1
19.91.6
16.918.5
Auto5.8
Teleop5.5
End8.7
Third
4854
#27
6.00.5
6.57.0
Auto2.8
Teleop1.5
End1.7
blue by 8.7
7250
#22
14.71.6
13.214.8
Auto4.1
Teleop5.3
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed67%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
49%Hangar oddsMissed74%Hangar oddsEarned