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Red46
725014.7
233737.5
721125.6
Blue44
283422.6
719211.6
366827.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9969204060801201401604644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.52.9
41.638.7
Auto13.3
Teleop16.4
End7.8
red by 9.5
3668
#12
27.91.9
28.126.2
Auto8.1
Teleop11.0
End8.8
Second
7211
#25
25.62.9
30.227.3
Auto6.8
Teleop8.4
End10.3
red by 3.0
2834
#18
22.61.9
25.924.0
Auto10.2
Teleop10.5
End1.9
Third
7250
#22
14.72.9
17.514.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.3
End5.3
red by 3.2
7192
#28
11.61.9
14.212.3
Auto3.7
Teleop3.3
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
93%Cargo oddsMissed67%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
90%Hangar oddsMissed74%Hangar oddsMissed