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Red101
439231.9
511450.0
776811.4
Blue44
498813.8
553417.9
607913.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103415015020010144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.00.1
48.648.7
Auto14.9
Teleop23.2
End11.9
red by 32.1
5534
#14
17.90.0
18.118.1
Auto3.5
Teleop12.3
End2.1
Second
31.90.1
30.530.6
Auto8.5
Teleop14.3
End9.1
red by 18.2
4988
#15
13.80.0
14.014.0
Auto4.0
Teleop4.2
End5.6
Third
7768
#32
11.40.1
9.910.0
Auto2.9
Teleop2.8
End5.7
blue by 2.3
6079
#17
13.70.0
14.013.9
Auto4.3
Teleop7.4
End2.0