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Red62
778224.4
663728.9
48359.4
Blue72
85726.0
437517.3
715415.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686340801006272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.0
29.028.9
Auto10.1
Teleop7.1
End11.7
red by 2.9
857
#23
26.00.3
26.226.5
Auto6.5
Teleop9.0
End10.5
Second
7782
#10
24.40.0
24.524.4
Auto5.6
Teleop4.8
End14.0
red by 7.2
17.30.3
17.517.8
Auto3.8
Teleop9.1
End4.3
Third
4835
#30
9.40.0
9.59.4
Auto2.2
Teleop1.1
End6.1
blue by 6.3
7154
#20
15.80.3
16.016.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.2
End5.4