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Red49
360223.8
656922.7
65586.0
Blue37
608817.2
611314.5
771312.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56461020304050607080904937

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.0
23.423.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.4
End9.2
red by 6.6
6088
#11
17.20.2
17.417.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.4
End6.1
Second
22.70.0
22.222.2
Auto4.2
Teleop7.0
End11.5
red by 8.1
14.50.2
14.714.6
Auto5.0
Teleop4.4
End5.1
Third
6558
#22
6.00.0
5.65.5
Auto3.3
Teleop1.6
End1.2
blue by 6.0
7713
#18
12.00.2
12.212.1
Auto2.4
Teleop4.3
End5.4