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Red39
48359.4
360223.8
58787.4
Blue53
57095.6
439231.9
611314.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332601020405060703953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.6
18.318.9
Auto5.3
Teleop9.4
End9.2
blue by 8.1
31.91.8
9.711.5
Auto8.5
Teleop14.3
End9.1
Second
4835
#30
9.40.6
6.26.8
Auto2.2
Teleop1.1
End6.1
blue by 5.1
14.51.8
10.011.8
Auto5.0
Teleop4.4
End5.1
Third
5878
#26
7.40.6
5.35.9
Auto4.6
Teleop2.3
End0.6
red by 1.9
5709
#29
5.61.8
5.97.8
Auto2.9
Teleop1.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsEarned13%Hangar oddsEarned