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Red29
54865.8
57068.1
85726.0
Blue44
663728.9
842516.8
48359.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3656020802944

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#23
26.00.5
23.322.8
Auto6.5
Teleop9.0
End10.5
blue by 2.9
28.90.7
27.126.4
Auto10.1
Teleop7.1
End11.7
Second
5706
#25
8.10.5
6.15.6
Auto2.8
Teleop2.6
End2.7
blue by 8.7
8425
#12
16.80.7
16.115.4
Auto2.8
Teleop3.5
End10.5
Third
5486
#33
5.80.5
6.96.4
Auto1.8
Teleop2.6
End1.4
blue by 3.6
4835
#30
9.40.7
6.86.2
Auto2.2
Teleop1.1
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsMissed85%Hangar oddsEarned