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Red71
437517.3
663728.9
258629.1
Blue69
47158.3
85726.0
439231.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64462040801007169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.10.9
20.721.6
Auto8.4
Teleop14.5
End6.2
blue by 2.8
31.91.6
13.415.0
Auto8.5
Teleop14.3
End9.1
Second
28.90.9
26.427.3
Auto10.1
Teleop7.1
End11.7
red by 2.9
857
#23
26.01.6
22.824.4
Auto6.5
Teleop9.0
End10.5
Third
17.30.9
10.311.2
Auto3.8
Teleop9.1
End4.3
red by 9.0
4715
#28
8.31.6
9.210.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsEarned22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
54%Hangar oddsEarned72%Hangar oddsEarned