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Red59
656922.7
65815.6
842516.8
Blue35
360223.8
715415.8
570211.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4040354550555935

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.71.2
16.217.4
Auto4.2
Teleop7.0
End11.5
blue by 1.2
23.80.2
18.918.7
Auto5.3
Teleop9.4
End9.2
Second
8425
#12
16.81.2
15.416.6
Auto2.8
Teleop3.5
End10.5
red by 1.0
7154
#20
15.80.2
9.69.4
Auto5.2
Teleop5.2
End5.4
Third
6581
#34
5.61.2
5.76.8
Auto2.0
Teleop3.1
End0.5
blue by 5.7
5702
#21
11.30.2
8.98.8
Auto4.8
Teleop3.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsEarned28%Hangar oddsMissed