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Red48
842516.8
715415.8
611314.5
Blue70
498813.8
511450.0
437517.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3578020601001204870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8425
#12
16.80.4
16.617.0
Auto2.8
Teleop3.5
End10.5
blue by 33.2
50.00.1
43.643.7
Auto14.9
Teleop23.2
End11.9
Second
7154
#20
15.80.4
9.49.8
Auto5.2
Teleop5.2
End5.4
blue by 1.5
17.30.1
11.211.3
Auto3.8
Teleop9.1
End4.3
Third
14.50.4
12.112.5
Auto5.0
Teleop4.4
End5.1
red by 0.8
4988
#15
13.80.1
13.213.3
Auto4.0
Teleop4.2
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed45%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
55%Hangar oddsEarned64%Hangar oddsEarned