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Red35
63459.6
607913.7
65815.6
Blue69
656922.7
553417.9
663728.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions217004060801003569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6079
#17
13.70.1
12.812.9
Auto4.3
Teleop7.4
End2.0
blue by 15.2
28.90.6
27.328.0
Auto10.1
Teleop7.1
End11.7
Second
6345
#19
9.60.1
6.46.5
Auto3.7
Teleop1.2
End4.6
blue by 13.1
22.70.6
17.418.1
Auto4.2
Teleop7.0
End11.5
Third
6581
#34
5.60.1
6.86.9
Auto2.0
Teleop3.1
End0.5
blue by 12.3
5534
#14
17.90.6
14.515.2
Auto3.5
Teleop12.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed31%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed54%Hangar oddsEarned