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Red132
439231.9
608817.2
511450.0
Blue26
54865.8
47158.3
778224.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8736020608010012014013226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.03.5
43.847.4
Auto14.9
Teleop23.2
End11.9
red by 25.6
7782
#10
24.40.9
24.123.2
Auto5.6
Teleop4.8
End14.0
Second
31.93.5
17.020.6
Auto8.5
Teleop14.3
End9.1
red by 23.7
4715
#28
8.30.9
10.89.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End1.8
Third
6088
#11
17.23.5
14.217.8
Auto4.7
Teleop6.4
End6.1
red by 11.4
5486
#33
5.80.9
5.14.1
Auto1.8
Teleop2.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
61%Cargo oddsEarned9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
75%Hangar oddsEarned54%Hangar oddsMissed