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Red77
715415.8
48359.4
439231.9
Blue56
607913.7
553417.9
439131.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3957020801001207756

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.92.3
20.622.8
Auto8.5
Teleop14.3
End9.1
red by 0.5
31.40.0
23.223.3
Auto7.8
Teleop12.7
End11.0
Second
7154
#20
15.82.3
11.413.6
Auto5.2
Teleop5.2
End5.4
blue by 2.1
5534
#14
17.90.0
15.315.4
Auto3.5
Teleop12.3
End2.1
Third
4835
#30
9.42.3
7.09.3
Auto2.2
Teleop1.1
End6.1
blue by 4.3
6079
#17
13.70.0
12.812.9
Auto4.3
Teleop7.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed37%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsEarned40%Hangar oddsMissed