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Red54
57095.6
47158.3
663728.9
Blue59
58787.4
778224.4
656922.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45552060801005459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.2
27.327.5
Auto10.1
Teleop7.1
End11.7
red by 4.5
7782
#10
24.40.3
23.223.5
Auto5.6
Teleop4.8
End14.0
Second
4715
#28
8.30.2
9.29.4
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End1.8
blue by 14.4
22.70.3
20.520.8
Auto4.2
Teleop7.0
End11.5
Third
5709
#29
5.60.2
6.76.9
Auto2.9
Teleop1.2
End1.5
blue by 1.9
5878
#26
7.40.3
6.56.8
Auto4.6
Teleop2.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsMissed35%Hangar oddsEarned