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Red32
58787.4
607913.7
608817.2
Blue64
607722.1
360223.8
498813.8
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3761020801003264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6088
#11
17.20.4
17.917.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.4
End6.1
blue by 6.6
23.80.4
20.420.8
Auto5.3
Teleop9.4
End9.2
Second
6079
#17
13.70.4
12.912.5
Auto4.3
Teleop7.4
End2.0
blue by 8.4
6077
#13
22.10.4
19.319.7
Auto6.1
Teleop11.1
End4.9
Third
5878
#26
7.40.4
6.86.5
Auto4.6
Teleop2.3
End0.6
blue by 6.4
4988
#15
13.80.4
14.214.6
Auto4.0
Teleop4.2
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsEarned13%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed65%Hangar oddsMissed