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Red46
85726.0
437517.3
611314.5
Blue18
65586.0
607913.7
776811.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions511904060804618

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#23
26.00.1
23.823.7
Auto6.5
Teleop9.0
End10.5
red by 12.3
6079
#17
13.70.3
9.49.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.4
End2.0
Second
17.30.1
9.89.7
Auto3.8
Teleop9.1
End4.3
red by 5.9
7768
#32
11.40.3
10.210.0
Auto2.9
Teleop2.8
End5.7
Third
14.50.1
10.110.0
Auto5.0
Teleop4.4
End5.1
red by 8.5
6558
#22
6.00.3
2.21.9
Auto3.3
Teleop1.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed