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Red45
47158.3
771312.0
360223.8
Blue44
60989.7
842516.8
553417.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413402060804544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.5
17.818.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.4
End9.2
red by 5.9
5534
#14
17.90.5
12.112.5
Auto3.5
Teleop12.3
End2.1
Second
7713
#18
12.00.9
11.011.8
Auto2.4
Teleop4.3
End5.4
blue by 4.8
8425
#12
16.80.5
15.516.0
Auto2.8
Teleop3.5
End10.5
Third
4715
#28
8.30.5
8.69.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End1.8
blue by 1.4
6098
#24
9.70.5
5.56.0
Auto2.8
Teleop2.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
47%Hangar oddsEarned20%Hangar oddsMissed