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Red86
258629.1
439131.4
482712.1
Blue60
360223.8
656922.7
65586.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77512040601001201401608660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.40.4
30.230.6
Auto7.8
Teleop12.7
End11.0
red by 7.6
23.80.1
23.423.5
Auto5.3
Teleop9.4
End9.2
Second
29.10.4
27.928.3
Auto8.4
Teleop14.5
End6.2
red by 6.5
22.70.1
22.322.4
Auto4.2
Teleop7.0
End11.5
Third
4827
#27
12.10.4
10.911.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.6
End4.2
red by 6.1
6558
#22
6.00.1
5.65.7
Auto3.3
Teleop1.6
End1.2