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Red64
607827.1
508429.8
365812.0
Blue99
118827.9
276746.1
194010.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73914060801001201401606499

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.2
30.530.3
Auto6.5
Teleop10.6
End12.7
blue by 16.3
46.10.4
45.545.9
Auto12.3
Teleop19.8
End13.9
Second
27.10.2
27.827.6
Auto6.0
Teleop7.4
End13.6
blue by 0.8
27.90.4
27.327.7
Auto10.9
Teleop13.8
End3.1
Third
3658
#21
12.00.2
12.712.5
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End3.5
red by 1.4
1940
#29
10.60.4
10.010.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.4
End3.1