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Red71
675321.7
725017.5
860814.0
Blue75
432717.3
600221.6
812612.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57532030407080901007175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6753
#12
21.70.3
21.722.1
Auto6.2
Teleop9.0
End6.5
red by 0.2
21.60.5
21.221.7
Auto4.8
Teleop8.1
End8.6
Second
17.50.3
17.517.8
Auto4.1
Teleop5.7
End7.7
red by 0.2
4327
#15
17.30.5
17.017.4
Auto7.2
Teleop8.5
End1.6
Third
8608
#17
14.00.3
14.014.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End4.0
red by 1.6
8126
#19
12.40.5
12.012.5
Auto3.3
Teleop6.5
End2.5