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Red40
837323.4
518213.8
365812.0
Blue76
118827.9
508429.8
45687.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3561020801001204076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8373
#11
23.40.3
19.419.6
Auto5.5
Teleop14.7
End3.2
blue by 6.4
29.81.2
27.028.3
Auto6.5
Teleop10.6
End12.7
Second
5182
#18
13.80.3
7.17.4
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End3.9
blue by 14.1
27.91.2
17.618.8
Auto10.9
Teleop13.8
End3.1
Third
3658
#21
12.00.4
9.610.1
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End3.5
red by 4.1
4568
#28
7.82.0
9.011.1
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed38%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed33%Hangar oddsEarned