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Red32
432521.4
365812.0
658026.7
Blue54
82864.5
607827.1
432717.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47452030405060703254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.71.2
15.914.7
Auto8.1
Teleop5.5
End13.2
blue by 0.3
27.10.7
23.023.7
Auto6.0
Teleop7.4
End13.6
Second
4325
#13
21.40.7
15.114.4
Auto4.3
Teleop8.0
End9.1
red by 4.1
4327
#15
17.30.7
13.113.8
Auto7.2
Teleop8.5
End1.6
Third
3658
#21
12.01.2
11.710.5
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End3.5
red by 7.5
8286
#20
4.50.7
7.48.1
Auto1.4
Teleop1.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed30%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsEarned47%Hangar oddsEarned