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Red26
72098.6
55236.4
749122.2
Blue103
295925.3
276746.1
553520.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289102040608010012014026103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.8
19.718.8
Auto5.3
Teleop10.3
End6.6
blue by 23.9
46.11.7
38.340.0
Auto12.3
Teleop19.8
End13.9
Second
7209
#33
8.61.4
8.06.6
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End2.1
blue by 16.8
2959
#10
25.31.7
20.822.5
Auto7.0
Teleop10.0
End8.3
Third
5523
#32
6.41.4
6.95.5
Auto2.1
Teleop2.0
End2.2
blue by 13.5
5535
#14
20.01.7
18.520.2
Auto5.7
Teleop8.4
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed77%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsMissed81%Hangar oddsEarned