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Red28
78117.1
837323.4
45687.8
Blue15
506711.0
54487.1
84248.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45330204060802815

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8373
#11
23.40.8
20.319.5
Auto5.5
Teleop14.7
End3.2
red by 12.4
5067
#27
11.01.2
11.710.5
Auto4.2
Teleop3.5
End3.4
Second
4568
#28
7.81.4
11.29.8
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End1.0
blue by 0.6
8424
#22
8.51.2
12.211.0
Auto2.4
Teleop3.5
End2.6
Third
7811
#26
7.10.8
9.28.3
Auto2.5
Teleop2.5
End2.1
Level
5448
#31
7.11.2
8.77.6
Auto2.6
Teleop3.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsMissed