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Red57
658026.7
71447.9
295925.3
Blue38
553520.0
520515.3
518213.8
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4845204060805738

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.71.3
14.716.1
Auto8.1
Teleop5.5
End13.2
red by 6.8
5535
#14
20.00.3
20.219.9
Auto5.7
Teleop8.4
End5.9
Second
2959
#10
25.30.8
22.523.3
Auto7.0
Teleop10.0
End8.3
red by 10.1
5205
#25
15.30.5
12.011.5
Auto3.7
Teleop8.2
End3.4
Third
7144
#24
7.90.8
7.78.5
Auto3.5
Teleop2.5
End1.9
blue by 5.9
5182
#18
13.80.3
10.29.9
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsEarned14%Hangar oddsMissed