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Red58
725017.5
506711.0
812612.4
Blue65
508429.8
675321.7
860814.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26710204060801001205865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.51.9
12.914.8
Auto4.1
Teleop5.7
End7.7
blue by 12.3
29.80.3
30.330.6
Auto6.5
Teleop10.6
End12.7
Second
8126
#19
12.41.9
6.98.8
Auto3.3
Teleop6.5
End2.5
blue by 9.3
6753
#12
21.70.3
20.821.1
Auto6.2
Teleop9.0
End6.5
Third
5067
#27
11.01.9
10.112.0
Auto4.2
Teleop3.5
End3.4
blue by 3.0
8608
#17
14.00.4
10.010.5
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed55%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsEarned75%Hangar oddsEarned