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Red65
432717.3
600221.6
837323.4
Blue57
518213.8
55236.4
508429.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59532040801006557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8373
#11
23.40.7
19.720.5
Auto5.5
Teleop14.7
End3.2
blue by 6.4
29.80.2
30.630.8
Auto6.5
Teleop10.6
End12.7
Second
21.60.7
18.419.1
Auto4.8
Teleop8.1
End8.6
red by 7.8
5182
#18
13.80.2
12.412.6
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End3.9
Third
4327
#15
17.30.7
16.016.8
Auto7.2
Teleop8.5
End1.6
red by 10.9
5523
#32
6.40.3
7.17.4
Auto2.1
Teleop2.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsMissed43%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsEarned