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Red53
71447.9
553520.0
812612.4
Blue38
675321.7
82864.5
72098.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4137102030506070805338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5535
#14
20.00.2
20.520.7
Auto5.7
Teleop8.4
End5.9
blue by 1.8
6753
#12
21.70.2
21.521.6
Auto6.2
Teleop9.0
End6.5
Second
8126
#19
12.40.2
8.99.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.5
End2.5
red by 3.8
7209
#33
8.60.3
6.26.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End2.1
Third
7144
#24
7.90.2
8.78.9
Auto3.5
Teleop2.5
End1.9
red by 3.4
8286
#20
4.50.2
7.67.8
Auto1.4
Teleop1.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed37%Hangar oddsEarned