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Red63
520515.3
837323.4
194010.6
Blue108
600221.6
365812.0
276746.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4182206010012014063108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8373
#11
23.41.3
20.521.7
Auto5.5
Teleop14.7
End3.2
blue by 22.6
46.12.4
40.743.1
Auto12.3
Teleop19.8
End13.9
Second
5205
#25
15.32.1
13.715.7
Auto3.7
Teleop8.2
End3.4
blue by 6.3
21.62.4
19.121.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.1
End8.6
Third
1940
#29
10.61.3
10.011.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.4
End3.1
blue by 1.4
3658
#21
12.04.0
12.316.3
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsEarned20%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed81%Hangar oddsEarned