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Red64
675321.7
71447.9
432521.4
Blue24
55236.4
45687.8
506711.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53270204060806424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6753
#12
21.71.2
21.622.8
Auto6.2
Teleop9.0
End6.5
red by 10.7
5067
#27
11.00.6
14.013.4
Auto4.2
Teleop3.5
End3.4
Second
4325
#13
21.41.2
15.716.9
Auto4.3
Teleop8.0
End9.1
red by 13.6
4568
#28
7.80.9
5.64.7
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End1.0
Third
7144
#24
7.91.2
8.910.1
Auto3.5
Teleop2.5
End1.9
red by 1.5
5523
#32
6.40.9
9.28.3
Auto2.1
Teleop2.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
67%Hangar oddsEarned28%Hangar oddsMissed