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Red43
518213.8
432717.3
765817.4
Blue44
276746.1
82864.5
506711.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5272204060801001204344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7658
#16
17.40.6
19.619.0
Auto3.0
Teleop4.6
End9.8
blue by 28.6
46.11.9
44.542.6
Auto12.3
Teleop19.8
End13.9
Second
4327
#15
17.30.6
16.916.4
Auto7.2
Teleop8.5
End1.6
red by 6.3
5067
#27
11.01.9
13.411.4
Auto4.2
Teleop3.5
End3.4
Third
5182
#18
13.80.6
14.914.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End3.9
red by 9.3
8286
#20
4.51.9
6.84.9
Auto1.4
Teleop1.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed45%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
54%Hangar oddsMissed76%Hangar oddsMissed