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Red70
562324.7
725017.5
553520.0
Blue72
812612.4
432521.4
837323.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6454304050607080901007072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.7
22.723.5
Auto6.0
Teleop10.0
End8.7
red by 1.2
8373
#11
23.41.1
21.923.0
Auto5.5
Teleop14.7
End3.2
Second
5535
#14
20.00.7
20.020.8
Auto5.7
Teleop8.4
End5.9
blue by 1.5
4325
#13
21.41.1
19.620.6
Auto4.3
Teleop8.0
End9.1
Third
17.50.7
16.116.8
Auto4.1
Teleop5.7
End7.7
red by 5.1
8126
#19
12.41.1
10.511.6
Auto3.3
Teleop6.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
58%Cargo oddsEarned27%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsEarned39%Hangar oddsEarned