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Red49
508429.8
777210.9
194010.6
Blue48
506711.0
78117.1
675321.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5942020804948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.3
31.331.0
Auto6.5
Teleop10.6
End12.7
red by 8.1
6753
#12
21.70.2
23.523.7
Auto6.2
Teleop9.0
End6.5
Second
7772
#23
10.90.3
10.610.3
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End2.3
blue by 0.1
5067
#27
11.00.2
11.411.6
Auto4.2
Teleop3.5
End3.4
Third
1940
#29
10.60.3
11.411.1
Auto3.1
Teleop4.4
End3.1
red by 3.5
7811
#26
7.10.2
6.86.9
Auto2.5
Teleop2.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
69%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
51%Hangar oddsEarned30%Hangar oddsEarned