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Red65
508429.8
658026.7
84248.5
Blue37
432521.4
553520.0
54487.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions624320801001206537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.6
28.328.9
Auto6.5
Teleop10.6
End12.7
red by 8.4
4325
#13
21.40.6
15.715.1
Auto4.3
Teleop8.0
End9.1
Second
26.71.1
14.915.9
Auto8.1
Teleop5.5
End13.2
red by 6.8
5535
#14
20.00.6
19.218.5
Auto5.7
Teleop8.4
End5.9
Third
8424
#22
8.50.6
12.413.0
Auto2.4
Teleop3.5
End2.6
red by 1.4
5448
#31
7.10.6
7.87.1
Auto2.6
Teleop3.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
41%Cargo oddsMissed26%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
63%Hangar oddsEarned47%Hangar oddsMissed